Curious what the chances of 1-6-11 happening? Want to know how likely it is that the Sixers get either the Lakers pick or the Heat pick?

Here you go.

First, we’ll start off just looking at how likely it is that the Sixers will get each pick.

Pick% chance1 in ...
Sixers pick100%1 in 1
Lakers pick17.28%1 in 5.79
Miami pick9.01%1 in 11.04

Now, how likely is it the Sixers will get at least one of the Lakers or the Miami pick? How likely is it that they get both?

Pick% chance1 in ...
At least one of Heat/Lakers22.66%1 in 4.41
Both Lakers and Heat pick3.68%1 in 27.21

A look at how likely it is for the Sixers own pick to land at various places.

Location% chance1 in ...
1st15.6%1 in 6.41
2nd15.74%1 in 6.35
3rd15.59%1 in 6.42
4th22.57%1 in 4.43
5th26.48%1 in 3.78
6th4.03%1 in 24.83
Top-346.92%1 in 2.13
Top-595.97%1 in 1.04

And now some various other scenarios.

Outcome% chance1 in ...
1st, 6th, 11th pick0.28%1 in 352.06
Sixers in top-3, get Lakers and Miami pick0.78%1 in 128.68
Sixers at #1 and get Lakers pick1.43%1 in 70.02
Sixers at #1 and get Heat pick1.05%1 in 95.19
Sixers pick top-3 and get Lakers pick3.82%1 in 26.16
Sixers pick top-3 and get Miami pick2.94%1 in 34.07
Sixers get 5th and 6th pick12.21%1 in 8.19
Sixers get 5th and 11th pick3.67%1 in 27.27

Want to play around with various scenarios? Lotterybucket.com is a great website to kill time with.

Follow @DerekBodnerNBA on twitter

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