Best Bets: NFL Championship Weekend
Championship weekend in the National Football League is already here! One of the best weekends in the year of sports with two elite games featuring the four best teams in the NFL. Will you be watching? Of course you will be, so you might as well have some action and I am here to help with the best bets to help pad your pockets. Take a look for the spreads, totals, moneyline odds, prop bets, betting trends, stats and more! Happy title weekend.
(All stats and information found in this article: as of 12:00PM EST Friday January 17th)
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs Sunday January 19th 3:05 PM EST
- Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -7 (58% of public money is on Chiefs -7)
- Total: 53 (68% of public money is on the Over)
- Moneyline: Chiefs -335 ; Titans +275 (71% of public money is on Titans moneyline)
Betting Trends:
- The road team has covered the spread in the Titans last seven games
- The Chiefs have won 14 of last 15 DAY games at home at Arrowhead Stadium
- The under has hit in nine of the last twelve games for Titans
- The Titans are 4-1 ATS (Against The Spread) when playing on the road after a win
- Records ATS: Titans 10-7-1 ; Chiefs 12-5 (KC is 7-0 in last seven games)
- Games at Arrowhead Stadium average 51 points per game and the average winning margin is 12 points
Prop Bets:
- Derrick Henry ANYTHING
- No but seriously, Henry has recorded over 100 rushing yards in seven of his last eight games, with his last three games being 211,182,195
- Henry Rushing Yards OVER 109.5 yards -134
- Derrick Henry to Score a TD: -200 ; not great value but I like winners. For more value and risk: Derrick Henry to Score First +550
- Derrick Henry to score first TD and Titans win +1800; this game could come down to the coin toss, and if the Titans end up winning this game, I think scoring first will be the reason why, so Henry being the guy to punch it in is a good bet.
- Or... Derrick Henry to score TD and Titans win +500
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 TD +250
- Patrick Mahomes Over 18.5 rushing yards -124 ( 53 rushing yards last week)
** Ryans pick: Titans + 7 & Under 53 **
Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers Sunday January 19th 6:40PM EST
- Spread: 49ers -7.5 (51% of public money is on Packers to cover spread)
- Total: 46.5 (69% of public money is on the Over)
- Moneyline: Packers +285; 49ers -335 (76% of public money is on Packers moneyline)
Betting Trends:
- The favorite has won the game in the 49ers last seven postseason games
- Packers have covered the spread in six of last seven against teams with winning record
- Packers four straight playoff games have gone OVER the total
- In the last 20 years, there have been 13 title games with a spread of seven or higher. The underdog is 10-3 ATS in those 13 games.
- 49ers have second most rushing attempts in regular season, and dominated head to head matchup. Seems to be an advantage here that tilts scales to 49ers side
- Record ATS: Packers 11-6 ; 49ers 11-6
- Games at Levi Stadium average 50 points per game
Prop Bets:
- Raheem Mostert to score TD: +130
- Mostert to score FIRST TD +850
- Mostert has scored in six of last seven games, six straight heading in to last weeks game. I find it hard to believe he will go two straight weeks not getting a TD
- George Kittle to score TD: +130
- George Kittle to score FIRST TD: +850
- Kittle is their top target with 6 catches a game on average and leads team in redzone targets
- Aaron Jones to score TD: -106
- Aaron Jones to score FIRST TD: +650
- Player to Score and Team to Win: Davante Adams +525
** Ryans pick: Packers +7.5 and Over **